Equity Indices Appreciate In November As Rates Fall – Equity Market Overview

Equity indices advanced in November, reflecting expectations that the Fed has ceased rate hikes with the possibility of rate reductions as early as March 2024. International and domestic indices climbed as optimism for improved earnings rose for most sectors. Interest-sensitive sectors including technology and financials experienced the largest advances in November. Small capitalization companies benefited as lower rates reduced borrowing costs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 Index, and the Nasdaq all rose in November. (Sources: Dow Jones, S&P, Federal Reserve)

Bond Yields Fall As Bond Prices Rise In November – Fixed Income Update

Bond prices rose in November, with Treasury and corporate bonds posting record gains. The resulting drop in bond yields was encouraging for the overall market as the expectations of possible Fed rate cuts early next year prompted optimism. Investment grade corporate, high yield, and government bonds all rose in November, encompassing all major sectors of the fixed-income spectrum. The Treasury Department also sold less debt than expected in November, causing a shortage of supply for global investors.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond fell to 4.37% at the end of November, down from 4.95% at the end of October. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-conforming mortgage fell to 7.22% in November, down from 7.79% in October. Many bond analysts expect a gradual downturn in interest rates over the coming months. (Sources: Fed, FreddieMac, Treasury Dept.)

Why Cash Isn’t Going Away Anytime Soon – Currency Overview

In spite of the prominence of popular electronic payment methods, cash continues to be a primary payment method of choice. The average person in the U.S. still uses cash for transactions every month and in some cases will only use cash for certain purchases, according to an analysis by the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank. The most compelling reason to use cash is the fact that it is anonymous, as compared with making a payment with a credit card or other electronic method that can be tracked and identify who’s spending.

The San Francisco Fed study found that the average individual continues to shift away from cash usage to credit cards, contributing to an average on-hand cash holdings of $73 per person in 2022. Most cash transactions are used for purchases of less than $25. The study noted 18- to 24-year-olds tend to utilize cash more frequently, potentially due to lower credit card access available to young consumers and students.

Of the various U.S. currency denominations in circulation, the 100-dollar bill is by far the most popular and the single most-printed note. For the past two fiscal years (2022 & 2021), the 100 dollar bill has been the most produced note by the U.S. Bureau of Engraving & Printing, with over 2.3 billion individual 100-dollar bills printed in 2021, and over 2.1 billion 100-dollar bills in 2022. Over 90 percent of currency printed by the U.S. Bureau of Engraving & Printing goes to replacing old and tattered bills already in circulation. (Sources: San Francisco Fed, U.S. Bureau of Engraving & Printing)

Year-End Tax Planning Activities – Tax Planning Overview

As the end of 2023 approaches, gathering necessary tax-filing items is essential. While not much has changed since last year’s tax revisions, it is advantageous to have accurate estimates and tax items prepared for the new year.

Employer Qualified Retirement Plans: Whether you are a self-­employed individual or a W-­2 employee, it is important to tally up any contributions that may have been made to your retirement accounts over the year. Most employer retirement accounts allow for year-end contributions until December 31st. So any additional contributions that you can make to a company-qualified plan such as a 401(k) or a 403(b) should be made before the end of the year. It’s a good idea to estimate how much more you can contribute, and plan the additional contribution accordingly.

Investment Portfolios: For investors that hold securities as various types of positions, it is helpful to identify any investments that may have either significant losses or significant gains. Given market volatility in 2023 across various asset classes, advisors are assessing any investment positions that may yield some type of tax benefit before year-end.

Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT): Alternative Minimum Tax should be carefully considered when implementing tax planning strategies going into the new year. Originally enacted in 1969, AMT was never indexed for inflation, and therefore continues to affect more individuals and families every year. AMT is essentially an additional tax on top of the standard tax tables. There’s a good chance that taxpayers taking significant deductions at the state and local levels (such as state tax-free municipal-bond income), claiming multiple dependents, exercising stock options, or recognizing a large capital gain for the year, may eventually be affected by AMT. (Sources: Tax Foundation, IRS)

Travel To U.S. Continues To Rebound After Pandemic – Travel Industry Update

The travel industry in the United States is enormous, with over $1 trillion spent in 2022 on lodging, food services, transportation, and amusement. The bulk is spent on dining, going to restaurants and other food service entities nationwide. Hotels and retail stores also capture a generous portion of what travelers spend. In 2022, the U.S. had over 94 million international arrivals into airports and seaports. Of these, the majority were directly from Canada and Mexico, with the remaining arrivals from various countries overseas. The U.S. Travel Association calculates that the average international traveler to the U.S. spends $4500 during their stay. Since the attacks of September 2001, it has become more difficult for foreign travelers to enter the United States, as fewer visas are issued and fewer foreign passports are allowed into the country. The average leisure traveler age is 47.5, which represents a typical consumer in their prime spending years and most likely with children. Thus, the majority of companies in the travel and leisure industries tend to create and focus their activities and themes around the desires and interests of this age group. (Source: U.S. Travel Association)